Atletico Mineiro4 - 0Caracas
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, May 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, May 16 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
We said: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Caracas
The shackles could come off Caracas knowing that nothing they can do on Tuesday will affect their Copa Libertadores fate, and their hosts do not arrive into the final matchweek with the wind in their sails. However, facing the leakiest defence in the competition is surely a recipe for success for the Brazilian giants, who should top the group and return to victorious ways in ruthless fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 78.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.35%) and 1-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Caracas |
78.52% ( -0.04) | 14.24% ( 0.02) | 7.24% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.5% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
