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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Bolivar
1 - 0
Barcelona

Fernandez (90+5')
Rodriguez (2'), Ferreyra (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendoza (67'), Pinatares (67'), Fydriszewski (88'), Sosa (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-4 Bolivar
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Barcelona SC

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 15.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
BolivarDrawBarcelona SC
64.21% (0.0019999999999953 0) 20.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 15.16%
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)42.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)78.85%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 64.2%
    Barcelona SC 15.16%
    Draw 20.62%
BolivarDrawBarcelona SC
2-0 @ 11.49%
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.59%
4-0 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.2%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.89%
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.16%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Barcelona
2-1
Bolivar
Gaibor (37'), Bauman (74')
Martinez (90+6'), Pineida (90+4')
Fernandez (70')
Fernandez (17'), Justiniano (45+2'), Sagredo (66')
rhs 2.0
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3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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