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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16
Dec 1, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Athletico Paranaense

River Plate
1 - 0
Athletico PR

De La Cruz (84')
Casco (14'), De La Cruz (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Walter (1'), Erick (51')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between River Plate and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawAthletico Paranaense
56.17%22.34%21.48%
Both teams to score 56.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05%42.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65%65.35%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87%15.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3%43.69%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15%33.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.48%70.52%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 56.17%
    Athletico Paranaense 21.48%
    Draw 22.34%
River PlateDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.13%
3-1 @ 6.23%
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 56.17%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-1 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 3%
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 21.48%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2020 10.15pm
Round of 16
Athletico PR
1-1
River Plate
Bissoli (57')
Cittadini (27'), Eduardo (28'), Nascimento Satorno (35')
Nascimento Satorno (67')
Diaz (90')
Perez (78'), Montiel (83')
May 31, 2019 1.30am
Final
River Plate
3-0
Athletico PR
Fernandez (65'), Pratto (91'), Suarez (95')
Martinez (55'), Montiel (58')

Gonzalez (45'), Bruno (66'), Lodi (77'), Wellington (81')
May 23, 2019 1.30am
Final
Athletico PR
1-0
River Plate
Ruben (25')
Andre (71'), Wellington (76'), Pereira (94')

Martinez (45'), Suarez (68'), Angileri (89')
Casco (81')
rhs 2.0
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