Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Millonarios3 - 1Penarol
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Wanderers
Saturday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millonarios would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millonarios | Draw | Penarol |
46.26% ( -0.08) | 27% ( 0.01) | 26.74% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
