MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 16:39:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 9, 2023 at 12am UK
Parque Osvaldo Roberto
Penarol

Racing
0 - 2
Penarol


Mourino (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alonso (66'), Arezo (81')
Rossi (33'), Alonso (53'), Saravia (72')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 4-1 Penarol
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawPenarol
26.77% (-0.894 -0.89) 26.51% (-0.099 -0.1) 46.71% (0.992 0.99)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.344 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)55.33% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.11 -0.11)76.54% (0.10900000000001 0.11)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01% (-0.803 -0.8)35.98% (0.799 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.23% (-0.827 -0.83)72.76% (0.825 0.83)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (0.41199999999999 0.41)23.67% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (0.592 0.59)57.77% (-0.594 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 26.77%
    Penarol 46.71%
    Draw 26.51%
Racing de MontevideoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-1 @ 6.41% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 26.77%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 12.27% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.84% (0.256 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.71%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2019 8pm
Racing
3-3
Penarol
Sosa (9', 53'), Araujo (74')
Nicolini (3'), Irazun (90')
Ferreyra (29')
Viatri (29' pen.), De los Santos (52', 76')
Rojas (38'), Canobbio (64'), Busquets (87')
Mar 23, 2019 10pm
Penarol
2-2
Racing
Acevedo (4'), Rodriguez (90')
Hernandez (76'), Pereira (81'), Rodriguez (81')
Araujo (52'), Sosa (55')
Nicolini (15'), Rodriguez (65'), Quinones (74')
Jul 21, 2018 10pm
gameweek 1
Penarol
1-1
Racing
Fernandez (1')
Matheu (66')
Araujo (19' pen.)
Lacoste (37'), Cayetano (45'), Bonifazi (49')
Bonifazi (51')
Feb 4, 2018 10.30pm
gameweek 1
Racing
0-2
Penarol

Romero (24')
Nicolini (32')
Martinez (30'), Hernandez (51')
Larry Estoyanoff Poggio (24')
rhs 2.0
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