Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Santa Fe2 - 1Gimnasia
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Santa Fe and Gimnasia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Goias 0-0 Santa Fe
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Belgrano
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Fe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Fe | Draw | Gimnasia |
53.14% ( 0.9) | 25.94% ( -0.4) | 20.93% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
