We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli
Given Empoli have won twice as many league games as they have lost on the road, they will be a stern proposition for Verona to face in their second round tie.
Nonetheless, home advantage has spurred the Gialloblu on to greater heights over the past couple of months, and their rejuvenated front line can see them through what is sure to be a close-fought encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.