EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Blackburn5 - 2Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 4-3 Blackburn
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Cardiff
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Cardiff City
With changes aplenty expected, it is impossible to predict the outcome of this contest with any great certainty. Nevertheless, we can only go with the Bluebirds who, despite only returning to South Wales late on Sunday night, are playing with an added belief under Bulut. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Cardiff City |
49.06% ( -0.17) | 24.41% ( 0.03) | 26.52% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( -0.03) | 47.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( -0.03) | 69.28% ( 0.02) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.08) | 19.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.13) | 50.93% ( 0.13) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.09) | 31.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.82% ( 0.11) | 68.18% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers 49.06%
Cardiff City 26.52%
Draw 24.4%
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 26.52% |
How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff
Blackburn Rovers
36.8%Draw
13.2%Cardiff City
50.0%38
Form Guide
