MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:55:22| >> :600:197142:197142:
Colchester United
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Brentford logo

Colchester
0 - 2
Brentford


Dallison (46'), Kazeem (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lewis-Potter (39'), Bech Sorensen (90+1')
Onyeka (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Colchester United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Brentford

Should Brentford heavily rotate, Colchester will fancy their chances of causing another upset in this competition. However, the Bees have added to their squad well this summer and should have the firepower to edge past their League Two opponents, especially with Frank likely to have quality options to call upon from the substitutes' bench if required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawBrentford
23.63% (-0.055 -0.05) 23.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 52.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)46.64% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-0.093 -0.09)68.91% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.107 -0.11)33.94% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.113 -0.11)70.62% (0.116 0.12)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)17.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)48.33% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 23.63%
    Brentford 52.63%
    Draw 23.72%
Colchester UnitedDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 23.63%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.63%

How you voted: Colchester vs Brentford

Colchester United
16.7%
Draw
9.0%
Brentford
74.4%
78
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2014 3pm
Colchester
4-1
Brentford
Bean (29'), Wynter (32'), Sears (41' pen., 65')
Sears (62'), Gilbey (76')
Dallas (45')
Saville (70')
Oct 19, 2013 3pm
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Brentford
Wright (23')
Potts (79')
Thompson (10')
Dean (85'), Forshaw (12'), Trotta (4')
Douglas (18'), Adeyemi (34'), Lee (78')
Adeyemi (45')
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
Feb 14, 2012 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Brentford
Gillespie (83', 85')
Duguid (56'), Wilson (60'), Rowlands (76')
McGinn (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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