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Barnsley
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
3 - 1
Man City U21s

McCarthy (26'), Russell (31'), Nzondo (79')
Shepherd (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dickson (43')
Ben Noble (30'), Samuel (90+5')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Barnsley and Manchester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man City U21s 1-2 Chelsea U21s
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawManchester City Under-21s
60.63% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 19.91% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 19.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.51% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)56.32%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (-0.012 -0.01)11.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.58% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.42% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (0.013000000000005 0.01)30.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)67.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 60.63%
    Manchester City Under-21s 19.46%
    Draw 19.91%
BarnsleyDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.31%
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.02%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.63%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.91%
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 4.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 19.46%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Barnsley
3-3
Man City U21s
Man City U21s win 5-3 on penalties
Adeboyejo (17'), Williams (60'), Lindsay (65')
Lindsay (46'), Mowatt (84')
Matondo (45'), Poveda (59', 74')
rhs 2.0
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