Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.