Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.