MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:25:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2022 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Vitesse

Ajax
2 - 2
Vitesse

Tadic (6'), Lucca (79')
Conceicao (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manhoef (25', 74')
Reiziger (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 PSV
Sunday, November 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-4 Sparta
Saturday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 Vitesse

Ajax have hit a bump in the road of late, but as top teams always do, they will be expected to get themselves back on track. We are backing the hosts to cruise to all three points come the sound of the final whistle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawVitesse
72.81% (-1.596 -1.6) 14.76% (0.917 0.92) 12.42% (0.675 0.68)
Both teams to score 64.78% (-1.982 -1.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.83% (-2.999 -3)23.16% (2.995 3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.52% (-4.148 -4.15)42.48% (4.144 4.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.41% (-0.898 -0.9)5.58% (0.8931 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.31% (-2.657 -2.66)21.69% (2.653 2.65)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-1.437 -1.44)31.38% (1.432 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (-1.696 -1.7)67.75% (1.692 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 72.81%
    Vitesse 12.42%
    Draw 14.76%
AjaxDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.526 0.53)
3-1 @ 8.13% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.719 0.72)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.309 0.31)
4-1 @ 5.87% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-0 @ 5.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.757 0.76)
3-2 @ 4.71% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-2 @ 3.4% (-0.33 -0.33)
5-1 @ 3.39% (-0.401 -0.4)
5-0 @ 2.92% (-0.219 -0.22)
5-2 @ 1.96% (-0.32 -0.32)
6-1 @ 1.63% (-0.303 -0.3)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.31% (-0.185 -0.19)
6-2 @ 0.94% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 72.81%
1-1 @ 5.86% (0.678 0.68)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-0 @ 1.75% (0.348 0.35)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 14.76%
1-2 @ 3.39% (0.271 0.27)
0-1 @ 2.03% (0.337 0.34)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.18% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 12.42%

How you voted: Ajax vs Vitesse

Ajax
90.6%
Draw
6.3%
Vitesse
3.1%
64
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-2
Ajax
Openda (52', 56')
Brobbey (15'), Alvarez (87')
Alvarez (24'), Brobbey (73'), Blind (73'), Klaassen (76')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (17', 61'), Haller (30', 46'), Tadic (51')

Wittek (52')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (5'), Alvarez (31'), Gravenberch (43'), Hajek (60' og.), Klaassen (67')

Bazoer (41'), Oroz (85')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-3
Ajax
Openda (44')
Hajek (23')
Haller (12'), Antony (43'), Martinez (75')
Antony (25'), Neres (84')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Ajax
2-1
Vitesse
Gravenberch (23'), Openda (30'), Neres (90+1')
Tannane (63'), Toure (72'), Wittek (74'), Bero (90+3'), Tagliafico (90+5')
Rasmussen (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!