Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 5, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AZ3 - 1Sparta
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam
The onus is more on AZ Alkmaar to take control of proceedings and secure all three points in this one. We fancy them to get the job done in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.77%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 70.02% | 18.84% | 11.14% |
| Both teams to score 44.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
