Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
