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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
50.46% | 25.23% | 24.31% |
Both teams to score 50.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.82% | 52.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.11% | 73.89% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% | 20.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% | 53.29% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.62% | 36.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% | 73.16% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |