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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 76.54%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 3-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
76.54% (![]() | 13.65% (![]() | 9.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.7% (![]() | 25.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.69% (![]() | 45.31% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.56% (![]() | 5.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.73% (![]() | 21.27% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.79% (![]() | 37.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% (![]() | 73.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-0 @ 8.58% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.33% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 4.83% Total : 76.54% | 1-1 @ 5.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 13.65% | 1-2 @ 2.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.61% Total : 9.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 69 | 24 | 45 | 51 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Feyenoord | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 39 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
9 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
12 | Willem II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Groningen | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |