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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
37.52% ( 1.35) | 23.6% ( 0.1) | 38.88% ( -1.45) |
Both teams to score 63.01% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.13% ( -0.38) | 38.87% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.82% ( -0.4) | 61.18% ( 0.4) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( 0.51) | 20.95% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( 0.78) | 53.69% ( -0.78) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( -0.82) | 20.29% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.34% ( -1.34) | 52.66% ( 1.34) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.03% Total : 38.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |