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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Groningen |
42.54% ( 0.3) | 24.21% ( -0) | 33.25% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.42% ( -0.08) | 42.57% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.02% ( -0.08) | 64.97% ( 0.07) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.8% ( 0.1) | 20.19% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.5% ( 0.16) | 52.49% ( -0.17) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% ( -0.22) | 24.94% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( -0.3) | 59.57% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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