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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 11.15am UK
 
AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior
2 - 1
AZ

Horemans (6'), Azarkan (31')
Fein (59'), Markelo (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sugawara (48')
Beukema (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

With 13 goals scored across their five league games on the road so far, AZ have proven themselves to be a formidable attacking threat away from home, and we can see them continuing the trend here en route to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
18.18% (0.396 0.4) 20.3% (0.129 0.13) 61.52% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (0.077000000000005 0.08)38.43% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28% (0.082000000000001 0.08)60.72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.479 0.48)34.56% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (0.505 0.51)71.28% (-0.503 -0.5)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.12 -0.12)12.04% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46% (-0.258 -0.26)37.53% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 18.18%
    AZ Alkmaar 61.52%
    Draw 20.3%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 4.97% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 4.42% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.35% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.18%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 9.32% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 61.52%

How you voted: Excelsior vs AZ

SBV Excelsior
20.0%
Draw
12.0%
AZ Alkmaar
68.0%
25
Head to Head
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
SBV Excelsior
4-2
AZ
Fortes (21'), Van Rhijn (51' og.), Bruins (60' pen.), Omarsson (66')
Mattheij (41')
Koopmeiners (30'), Johnsen (70')
Gudmundsson (59')
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
AZ
2-1
SBV Excelsior
Til (39'), Johnsen (94')
Ouwejan (57')
Mahmudov (30')
Fortes (75')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-2
AZ
Messaoud (64')
Koolwijk (34'), Bruins (70')
Zwarthoed (19' og.), Jahanbakhsh (44')
Svensson (75')
Sep 24, 2017 3.45pm
Mar 5, 2017 11.30am
AZ
1-1
SBV Excelsior
Dos Santos Souza (21')
Luckassen (62'), Rienstra (64'), Vlaar (69'), Til (74'), Svensson (90')
Van Duinen (60')
Koolwijk (28'), Mattheij (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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