Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.