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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
76.21% ( -1.41) | 14.39% ( 0.75) | 9.4% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 53.94% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.19% ( -1.67) | 30.81% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.84% ( -2.02) | 52.16% ( 2.01) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.33% ( -0.62) | 6.67% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.27% ( -1.71) | 24.73% ( 1.71) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.79% ( 0.1) | 42.2% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.39% ( 0.08) | 78.61% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.98% Total : 76.21% | 1-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.39% | 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.98% Total : 9.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |