MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 09:25:58| >> :600:389570:389570:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
0 - 0
Larnaca


Peglow (56'), Hayner (61'), Hutsuliak (76')
FT

Angel (13'), Tomovic (63'), Pons (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Dnipro-1 and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dnipro-1

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

AEK Larnaca

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Dnipro-1 0-1 AEK Larnaca (AEK Larnaca win 2-0 on aggregate)

 Although they made hard work of the home leg, AEK Larnaca will fancy themselves as a stronger outfit than their playoff opponents, particularly given how much more competitive football they have played recently, and although Dnipro-1 should again make it tough, we back Oltra's side to advance with another narrow win on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawAEK Larnaca
41.48% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 26.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 31.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.174 -0.17)53.5% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98% (-0.147 -0.15)75.02% (0.149 0.15)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)25.45% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)60.27% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.13 -0.13)31.17% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)67.5% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 41.48%
    AEK Larnaca 31.89%
    Draw 26.62%
Dnipro-1DrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.89%

How you voted: Dnipro-1 vs Larnaca

Dnipro-1
39.7%
Draw
10.3%
AEK Larnaca
50.0%
68
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Larnaca
1-0
Dnipro-1
Angel (84')
Angel (39')

Hamache (19'), Tanchyk (59'), Kucher (90+4')
Aug 25, 2022 5pm
Playoffs
Larnaca
3-0
Dnipro-1
Gyurcso (21'), Lopes (45'), Englezou (78')
Gustavo (61'), Lopes (73'), Angel (90+1')

Loginov (14'), Babenko (42')
Aug 18, 2022 7pm
Playoffs
Dnipro-1
1-2
Larnaca
Svatok (90')
Sarapiy (63')
Sarapiy (90+5')
Altman (16'), Svatok (29' og.)
Gustavo (62'), Casas (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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