We said: Dnipro-1 0-1 AEK Larnaca (AEK Larnaca win 2-0 on aggregate)
Although they made hard work of the home leg, AEK Larnaca will fancy themselves as a stronger outfit than their playoff opponents, particularly given how much more competitive football they have played recently, and although Dnipro-1 should again make it tough, we back Oltra's side to advance with another narrow win on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.