Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
AEK Arena
Larnaca3 - 3Dynamo Kiev
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Vorskla
Sunday, October 23 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Sunday, October 23 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
We said: AEK Larnaca 1-1 Dynamo Kiev
Having not suffered a heavy defeat throughout their group-stage campaign, Kiev will still feel that they can extend their stay in Europe. However, we are backing Larnaca to do enough to claim a share of the spoils, securing third spot in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
35.49% ( 0.08) | 23.86% ( 0.01) | 40.65% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
