Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Szczecin2 - 1Gent
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Pogon Szczecin and Gent.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Westerlo 1-3 Gent
Sunday, August 13 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, August 13 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Gent |
30.83% ( 1.34) | 22.49% ( 0.12) | 46.68% ( -1.46) |
| Both teams to score 65.09% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.7% ( 0.22) | 35.29% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.68% ( 0.24) | 57.32% ( -0.24) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.91) | 22.85% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.42% ( 1.33) | 56.58% ( -1.33) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.44) | 15.63% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.36% ( -0.81) | 44.64% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin 30.83%
Gent 46.68%
Draw 22.49%
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.68% |
How you voted: Szczecin vs Gent
Pogon Szczecin
4.8%Draw
14.3%Gent
81.0%21
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 7pm
