Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for AZ had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest AZ win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
