Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.55%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.