Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla3 - 1Dinamo Zagreb
We said: Sevilla 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo are more than capable of making this a tough assignment for Sevilla, who have disappointed in Europe this season. The La Liga outfit will fancy their chances of securing a first-leg advantage, though, and we are expecting them to run out 2-1 winners at Estadio Ramon on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 56.17% | 22.96% | 20.87% |
| Both teams to score 53.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
