Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 7pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Zrinjski3 - 0Differdange 03
FT(HT: 2-0)
Balde (26'), Lempereur (51'), Rodrigues (65')
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Zrinjski Mostar and FC Differdange 03.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Differdange 03 had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Differdange 03 win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | FC Differdange 03 |
| 66.69% | 19.94% | 13.37% |
| Both teams to score 47.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% | 46.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% | 68.53% |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% | 12.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.58% | 39.42% |
| FC Differdange 03 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.43% | 45.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.61% | 81.39% |
| Score Analysis |
Zrinjski Mostar 66.68%
FC Differdange 03 13.37%
Draw 19.94%
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | FC Differdange 03 |
| 2-0 @ 12.33% 1-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 6.6% 4-0 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.88% Total : 66.68% | 1-1 @ 9.48% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.94% | 0-1 @ 4.64% 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1% 1-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.37% |
