Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Luxembourg4 - 1Bosnia H'vina
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gojkovic (90+3')
Hadziahmetovic (26'), Cimirot (28'), Gojkovic (45+4'), Hajradinovic (69'), Dedic (71'), Krunic (88')
Hadziahmetovic (26'), Cimirot (28'), Gojkovic (45+4'), Hajradinovic (69'), Dedic (71'), Krunic (88')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 8 | 30 | 24 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 4 | Iceland | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 8 | -7 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 8 | -24 | 0 |
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-5 Portugal
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 8 | 30 | 24 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 4 | Iceland | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 8 | -7 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 8 | -24 | 0 |
We said: Luxembourg 0-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina
Luxembourg's bubble appears to have burst with just one point in their previous three qualifiers, almost ending hopes of finishing in the top two. Bosnia have been a hapless mess in this group, but prior to their defeat in June, they had won all seven previous meetings with Luxembourg, keeping six clean sheets, and they will be determined to avoid a repeat of that dark day in Zenica over the summer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
32.17% ( 1.55) | 25.94% ( 0.14) | 41.89% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
