Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Spain6 - 0Cyprus
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Spain and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualification match with Cyprus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Georgia 1-7 Spain
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Spain 3-0 Cyprus
Cyprus are struggling in Group A, and it is very difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. Spain were seriously good against Georgia on Friday evening, and it would be a shock if they were unable to secure another three points in Tuesday's affair on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 4-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Cyprus |
86.47% ( 0.13) | 9.42% ( -0.09) | 4.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.67% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.9% ( 0.26) | 28.1% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.32) | 48.87% ( -0.32) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.65% ( 0.07) | 4.35% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 82.02% ( 0.2) | 17.98% ( -0.2) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.61% ( 0.02) | 55.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.89% ( 0.01) | 88.11% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Spain 86.46%
Cyprus 4.11%
Draw 9.42%
| Spain | Draw | Cyprus |
| 3-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% 6-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 86.46% | 1-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 9.42% | 0-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 4.11% |
How you voted: Spain vs Cyprus
Spain
93.4%Draw
6.6%Cyprus
0.0%61
Form Guide
