MX23RW : Thursday, December 26 15:48:38| >> :600:6380992:6380992:
Scotland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Spain national football team

Scotland
2 - 0
Spain

McTominay (7', 51')
Robertson (27'), Dykes (34'), Gunn (76'), McTominay (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carvajal (68'), Aspas (83')

The Match

Match Report

Scott McTominay scores twice as Scotland stun Spain to win 2-0 at Hampden Park in Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualifier.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Scotland and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group A clash with Scotland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Cyprus
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland133
2Spain133
3Georgia000
4Cyprus1-30
5Norway1-30
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Norway
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland133
2Spain133
3Georgia000
4Cyprus1-30
5Norway1-30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
ScotlandDrawSpain
35.91% (0.864 0.86) 27.62% (0.347 0.35) 36.47% (-1.21 -1.21)
Both teams to score 48.97% (-1.025 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.2% (-1.304 -1.3)56.8% (1.304 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (-1.056 -1.06)77.74% (1.056 1.06)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)30.2% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65% (-0.121 -0.12)66.35% (0.121 0.12)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-1.363 -1.36)29.85% (1.363 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (-1.681 -1.68)65.93% (1.682 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 35.91%
    Spain 36.47%
    Draw 27.61%
ScotlandDrawSpain
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.5 0.5)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 10.89% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Scotland vs Spain

Scotland
20.6%
Draw
15.0%
Spain
64.4%
253
rhs 2.0
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