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FA Cup
Nottingham Forest logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
Luton Town

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Luton

Yates (40'), Sosa (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Luton
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Luton Town

 It will be fascinating to see whether Santo opts to go strong or rotate his resources for the visit of Luton, but regardless of what team Forest field, Luton should be heading home disappointed. The Hatters are in disarray on the field, and even if Trollope and Kyle can provide any sort of new manager bounce, the Premier League surprise package should enjoy safe passage into round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawLuton Town
44.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 25.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 30.39% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.052 0.05)49.48% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.52% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.89% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.069999999999993 0.07)30.17% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)66.32% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 44.09%
    Luton Town 30.39%
    Draw 25.51%
Nottingham ForestDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.09%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.39%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Luton

Nottingham Forest
92.4%
Luton Town
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Berry (89')
Kabore (30')
Wood (34')
Toffolo (84'), Sels (90')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nott'm Forest
2-2
Luton
Wood (48', 76')
Sangare (60'), Gibbs-White (82'), Murillo (90+8')
Ogbene (83'), Adebayo (90+2')
> Match Report
Apr 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Nott'm Forest
Naismith (37' pen.)
Bradley (26'), Naismith (49'), Onyedinma (56'), Burke (63'), Campbell (63'), Shea (69'), Adebayo (90+3')
Bradley (77')

Garner (44'), Davis (63'), Worrall (74'), Figueiredo (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nott'm Forest
0-0
Luton
Taylor (26'), Colback (47'), McKenna (55')
Colback (61')
Lockyer (45+1'), Ruddock (68'), Bradley (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Luton
Tunnicliffe (64')
Naismith (61')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
14Crystal Palace215972328-524
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


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