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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Luton
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Berry (89')
Kabore (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wood (34')
Toffolo (84'), Sels (90')

The Match

Match Report

Luke Berry scores a 89th-minute leveller as Luton Town claim a point against Nottingham Forest in Saturday's Premier League clash at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 4-3 Luton
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNottingham Forest
42.29% (0.177 0.18) 23.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 33.88% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 61.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.58% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)62.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.073999999999998 0.07)19.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.67% (0.122 0.12)51.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)23.64% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)57.73% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.29%
    Nottingham Forest 33.88%
    Draw 23.83%
Luton TownDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 42.29%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.88%

How you voted: Luton vs Nott'm Forest

Luton Town
40.8%
Draw
30.9%
Nottingham Forest
28.3%
233
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nott'm Forest
2-2
Luton
Wood (48', 76')
Sangare (60'), Gibbs-White (82'), Murillo (90+8')
Ogbene (83'), Adebayo (90+2')
Apr 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Nott'm Forest
Naismith (37' pen.)
Bradley (26'), Naismith (49'), Onyedinma (56'), Burke (63'), Campbell (63'), Shea (69'), Adebayo (90+3')
Bradley (77')

Garner (44'), Davis (63'), Worrall (74'), Figueiredo (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nott'm Forest
0-0
Luton
Taylor (26'), Colback (47'), McKenna (55')
Colback (61')
Lockyer (45+1'), Ruddock (68'), Bradley (90+3')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Rea (22')
Ruddock (55'), Cranie (71'), Rea (73')
Rea (64' og.)
Ioannou (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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