FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Wrexham3 - 3Sheff Utd
The Match
Match Report
Wrexham narrowly miss out on earning a place in the FA Cup fifth round, the National League side conceding a 95th-minute equaliser to draw 3-3 with Sheffield United.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Wrexham and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gateshead 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Hull City
Friday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Friday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Sheffield United |
42.25% ( 3.2) | 24.8% ( 0.5) | 32.95% ( -3.7) |
Both teams to score 57.71% ( -2.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% ( -3.06) | 45.4% ( 3.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% ( -2.99) | 67.73% ( 3) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( 0.21) | 21.52% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( 0.32) | 54.57% ( -0.32) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% ( -3.54) | 26.47% ( 3.54) |