Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
