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Juventus logo
Friendlies
Jul 23, 2022 at 4am UK
Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 0
Guadalajara

Da Graca (10'), Compagnon (80')
Cudrig (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's pre-season clash between Juventus and CD Guadalajara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 3-1 CD Guadalajara

Juventus may have to fight through some rust in their first outing of pre-season, but they still have what it takes to start with a victory against the Mexican side, should their key players feature for large portions of the encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawCD Guadalajara
52.41% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 25.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.09% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.23% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)55.17% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)76.41% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)21.08% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)53.9% (0.055 0.05)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 52.4%
    CD Guadalajara 22.09%
    Draw 25.49%
JuventusDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 52.4%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.3%
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 22.09%

How you voted: Juventus vs Guadalajara

Juventus
79.2%
Draw
10.4%
CD Guadalajara
10.4%
48
rhs 2.0
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