MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 20:24:02| >> :60:277:277:
Bolton logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Stoke logo

Bolton
0 - 1
Stoke


Sheehan (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Manhoef (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Bolton Wanderers and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Fiorentina
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City

With little at stake for both teams, we are anticipating an open and end-to-end clash in this one. We can also see Stoke City just about doing enough to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawStoke City
33.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 24.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 41.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.41% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)45.83% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (-0.09 -0.09)68.15% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)26.48% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)61.67% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)21.91% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)55.17% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 33.28%
    Stoke City 41.81%
    Draw 24.91%
Bolton WanderersDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.28%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 41.81%

How you voted: Bolton vs Stoke

Bolton Wanderers
23.5%
Draw
17.6%
Stoke City
58.8%
17
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Bolton
0-0
Stoke
Donaldson (60'), Vela (69')
Martins Indi (37'), Allen (65'), Edwards (82')
Oct 2, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 11
Stoke
2-0
Bolton
Martins Indi (10'), Ince (74')
Martina (71')

Grounds (38'), Noone (60')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bolton
1-2
Stoke
Le Fondre (44')
Joselu (78', 88')
May 13, 2012 3pm
Stoke
2-2
Bolton
Walters (13', 77' pen.)
Huth (85')
Davies (39'), Davies (45')
Ricketts (38')
Nov 6, 2011 3pm
Bolton
5-0
Stoke
Eagles (23', 73'), Davies (2'), Klasnic (61', 81')

Walters (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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