League One
May 18, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Bolton0 - 2Oxford Utd
The Match
Match Report
Oxford United beat Bolton Wanderers 2-0 at Wembley Stadium to earn promotion to the Championship, ending a 25-year absence.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in League One
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in League One
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Oxford United |
56.75% ( -0.4) | 21.62% ( 0.01) | 21.64% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
