Famalicao

3 - 1

Penafiel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.