Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
56.09% (![]() | 22.46% (![]() | 21.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.47% (![]() | 43.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.07% (![]() | 65.93% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.65% (![]() | 15.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% (![]() | 44.13% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% (![]() | 34.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% (![]() | 70.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 5.66% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |