Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liege win with a probability of 79.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Tongeren had a probability of 7.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liege win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Tongeren win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liege would win this match.