Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 83.22%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Lugano II had a probability of 5.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 4-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for a Lugano II win it was 1-2 (1.89%).