We said: Liechtenstein 2-1 Hong Kong
This may just be a friendly, but Liechtenstein will throw everything into trying to end their four-year run without a win. Although Hong Kong will be the far more confident side heading into this fixture, we are backing the home team to get over the line with a hard-fought triumph.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 84.07%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.29%) and 0-1 (12.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liechtenstein would win this match.