MX23RW : Monday, November 11 13:02:13| >> :60:52:52:
Liechtenstein national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 10, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Rheinpark Stadion (Vaduz)

Liechtenstein
1 - 0
Hong Kong

Hasler (16')
Luchinger (51'), Buchel (77'), Buchel (89'), Meier (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chan (61'), Soares Belitardo Junior (68'), Jones (79'), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Liechtenstein and Hong Kong, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-2 Liechtenstein
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Liechtenstein 2-1 Hong Kong

This may just be a friendly, but Liechtenstein will throw everything into trying to end their four-year run without a win. Although Hong Kong will be the far more confident side heading into this fixture, we are backing the home team to get over the line with a hard-fought triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 84.07%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.29%) and 0-1 (12.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liechtenstein would win this match.

Result
LiechtensteinDrawHong Kong
4.09% (-0.65 -0.65) 11.84% (-1.197 -1.2) 84.07% (1.844 1.84)
Both teams to score 31.8% (-0.751 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (2.253 2.25)41.8% (-2.258 -2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (2.233 2.23)64.21% (-2.237 -2.24)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.34% (-1.165 -1.17)65.66% (1.162 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.72% (-0.502 -0.5)93.28% (0.498 0.5)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.59% (0.922 0.92)7.41% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.31% (2.351 2.35)26.69% (-2.355 -2.36)
Score Analysis
    Liechtenstein 4.09%
    Hong Kong 84.06%
    Draw 11.84%
LiechtensteinDrawHong Kong
1-0 @ 2.05% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-1 @ 1.12% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 4.09%
1-1 @ 5.33% (-0.532 -0.53)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-2 @ 1.46% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 11.84%
0-2 @ 16.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 14.29% (0.55 0.55)
0-1 @ 12.66% (-0.69 -0.69)
0-4 @ 9.3% (0.76 0.76)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 4.84% (0.597 0.6)
1-4 @ 3.91% (0.168 0.17)
0-6 @ 2.1% (0.342 0.34)
1-5 @ 2.04% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 84.06%

How you voted: Liechtenstein vs Hong Kong

Liechtenstein
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
Hong Kong
31.3%
32
rhs 2.0
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