Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.