J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 5am UK
EDION Stadium
Hiroshima3 - 1Avispa Fukuoka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
Result | ||
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
59.94% ( -0.47) | 24.41% ( 0.36) | 15.65% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 40.22% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.02% ( -1.02) | 58.97% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.55% ( -0.8) | 79.44% ( 0.8) |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% ( -0.57) | 19.58% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% ( -0.94) | 51.51% ( 0.93) |
Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.01% ( -0.47) | 49.98% ( 0.46) |