Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.