Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
51.77% ( 1.08) | 26.65% ( 0.2) | 21.58% ( -1.28) |
Both teams to score 43.58% ( -1.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.36% ( -1.77) | 59.64% ( 1.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.04% ( -1.38) | 79.96% ( 1.38) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( -0.28) | 23.22% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% ( -0.41) | 57.13% ( 0.41) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.76% ( -2.32) | 43.24% ( 2.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.51% ( -2.01) | 79.49% ( 2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.66% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 30 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
7 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |