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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Cadiz logo

Valencia
2 - 0
Cadiz

Gaya (4'), Duro (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pires (68'), Fali (71'), Sobrino (90+2')
Navarro (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Cadiz

Both sides will be missing a number of important players for this match, and it would not be a surprise to see a draw on Monday night. Goals have been an issue for both sides this term, but we believe that Valencia will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCadiz
53.69% (-0.301 -0.3) 25.17% (0.293 0.29) 21.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-1.091 -1.09)54.92% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.912 -0.91)76.21% (0.905 0.91)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (-0.554 -0.55)20.46% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (-0.884 -0.88)52.92% (0.879 0.88)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.621 -0.62)40.98% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (-0.559 -0.56)77.54% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 53.68%
    Cadiz 21.14%
    Draw 25.16%
ValenciaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 21.14%

How you voted: Valencia vs Cadiz

Valencia
82.1%
Draw
14.3%
Cadiz
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 32
Cadiz
2-1
Valencia
Escalante (39'), Guardiola (46')
Lino (51')
Jan 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Valencia
0-1
Cadiz
Alcaraz (9')
Apr 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Valencia
0-0
Cadiz
Alderete (59'), Paulista (66'), Diakhaby (90+6')
Fede (33'), Alejo (58'), Alcaraz (77'), Mari (86'), Lozano (87')
Mari (90+5')
Feb 2, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
2-1
Cadiz
Guedes (24'), Duro (79')
Gaya (34'), Comert (53'), Gomez (87')
Perez (54' pen.)
Alejo (38'), Alcaraz (59'), Sobrino (61'), Cala (71'), Parra (87')
Cala (84')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cadiz
0-0
Valencia
Alarcon (41'), Calderon (72'), Alejo (83')
Alderete (13'), Foulquier (46'), Guillamon (57'), Diakhaby (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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