Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Cadiz |
53.69% ( -0.3) | 25.17% ( 0.29) | 21.14% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( -1.09) | 54.92% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( -0.91) | 76.21% ( 0.91) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( -0.55) | 20.46% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% ( -0.88) | 52.92% ( 0.88) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.01% ( -0.62) | 40.98% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.46% ( -0.56) | 77.54% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |