La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas2 - 2Sevilla
We said: Las Palmas 1-2 Sevilla
Las Palmas have not beaten Sevilla in the league since September 2015, which is an indication of the size of their task in this match. It would not be a shock to see a home win or a draw on Friday, but we just have a feeling that Sevilla will be able to navigate their way to all three points in their opening match of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sevilla |
49.91% ( 0.3) | 25.08% ( 0.2) | 25% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
